The closely backed Kansas Metropolis Chiefs successful on Sunday was already a foul consequence for sportsbooks, however the addition of the Tremendous Bowl’s second-ever additional time made it even worse.
“Extra time was unhealthy,” Craig Mucklow, vp of buying and selling for Caesars Sportsbook instructed ESPN. “It was our greatest loser of the prop bets.”
Certainly, a number of well-liked props cashed solely due to the additional interval, amongst them:
Patrick Mahomes over 1.5 landing passes, which hit on the ultimate play of the sport.
Christian McCaffrey over 129.5 scrimmage yards. The 2023 Offensive Participant of the 12 months had eight touches in additional time to recover from this complete.
Brock Purdy over 20.5 completions and over 246.5 passing yards.
Nevertheless, Purdy was additionally on the middle of the most important unhealthy beat of the evening. With that in thoughts, listed below are the bets that induced probably the most agony for bettors and the one aid for the sportsbooks.
Brock Purdy over 12.5 rush yards
On the 49ers’ first drive of the second half, Purdy scrambled to the left aspect to select up 4 yards on the bottom. That run pushed him to 13 speeding yards on the night, a sliver over his consensus complete, which stood at 12.5.
The 24-year-old didn’t try one other rush in regulation till the final play of the fourth quarter, when Purdy took a knee to wind down the clock and ship the Tremendous Bowl to additional time. It could technically go down as a -1 yard run to carry Purdy’s speeding complete to 12. The 2022 Mr. Irrelevant wouldn’t try a rush in additional time.
The books seemingly breathed a sigh of aid, as that prop was probably the most well-liked throughout the market.
Editor’s Picks
1 Associated
BetMGM reported that the over on that Purdy line was its hottest prop guess by ticket quantity; it had 90% of the tickets and 87% of the deal with, in contrast with the underneath. Equally, at DraftKings, Purdy’s over on speeding yards collected 92% of the bets and 89% of the deal with.
Whereas the quantity was at 12.5 for many of the week, it really got here right down to 11.5 simply earlier than the sport, that means the few that grabbed the over on the decrease quantity escaped with the win.
Beneath 46.5 and Over 47.5
It is a uncommon case by which the over and the underneath can each be unhealthy beats in the identical recreation, and all of it has to do with the full touchdown within the good spot.
Let’s begin with the underneath. For a lot of the 2 weeks main as much as the Tremendous Bowl, the full stayed remarkably secure at 47.5. That’s, till the hours earlier than kickoff, when late sharp motion led sportsbooks throughout the market to drop the full to a brand new consensus variety of 46.5.
Anybody who adopted the road motion and took the underneath on the lower cost ought to have been feeling fairly good after three quarters: Solely 23 factors had been scored, so even when that in some way doubled in a single quarter, this guess would nonetheless money.
Then, the groups mixed for 15 factors within the fourth, owing partially to a blocked San Francisco PAT to ship the competition to additional time. In additional time, one other 9 factors went on the board to carry the full to 47, a crushing defeat for underneath bettors.
The consensus complete main as much as Sunday was 47.5 and the general public was throughout it: ESPN BET reported that 67.6% of bets have been on the over, with different nationwide sportsbooks reporting comparable figures.
Between the missed PAT and one other one being pointless after Kansas Metropolis’s game-winning landing, the ultimate rating additionally fell simply in need of topping 47.5, producing one other heartbreaker for the general public.
Jauan Jennings Tremendous Bowl MVP +30000
That is much less of a foul beat and extra of a just-missed big payday.
Earlier than Sunday’s recreation, Jauan Jennings was a 300-1 longshot to win Tremendous Bowl MVP on ESPN BET, one of many longest costs on the board.
That every one modified midgame when the broad receiver threw a landing on a trick play and caught one other to present the 49ers the late lead. These performs led to Jennings all of the sudden becoming a member of the MVP dialog and at one level he was the co-leader to win the distinction with Purdy and Mahomes at +200.
There is not any telling how the voting would have gone, however had San Francisco gained, there might have been some very comfortable Jennings backers on the market who have been all of the sudden loads richer.
