Vaughn Dalzell breaks down his greatest bets for the School Basketball slate, together with Ohio State at Minnesota and FAU internet hosting SMU.
Ohio State at Minnesota: O/U 138.5
Ohio State earned the house upset over Purdue on Sunday simply days after firing head coach Chris Holtmann. Now, OSU who has a 16-game highway shedding streak, goes to Minnesota to face the 14-3 house Gophers.
The Gophers are taking pictures 57.3% from two at house (thirty seventh) and may see a lift to its 35.8% from deep (134th) towards a highway Buckeyes protection. OSU is ranked 360th with a 44.9% three-point proportion allowed in seven highway video games and the 350th defensive turnover proportion (12.2%).
The Buckeyes have not gained back-to-back video games since Dec. 30 to Jan. 3. OSU misplaced by 6,14, and eight factors following their final three wins and all three video games got here on the highway.
Ohio State may go on a run, however I’ll say beating Purdue and successful a highway sport the next contest is asking a variety of the Buckeyes. Ohio State’s season is not over by any means, however they’ve a variety of work to do even with a win right here.
Give me Minnesota -3.5 at -105 odds and would exit to -5 for 1 unit. The unfold is -3.5 and similair odds in all places.
Decide: Minnesota -3.5 (1.5u)
Michigan at Northwestern (-11.5): O/U 137.5
Northwestern nearly gained 4 straight video games, however a three-point loss at Rutgers is the one blemish on its report in that span.
The Wildcats host the Wolverines with out their main scorer Dug McDaniel (16.6 PPG), which has been an issue for Michigan on the highway.
Michigan is 2-7 in true highway video games this season (1-6 in Massive Ten) with six straight losses. The Wolverines have one of many worst highway three-point defenses within the nation (41.6%, 358th) and switch the ball over 18.4% of offensive possessions in convention highway video games with a 69.4% free-throw proportion (each Third-worst).
Michigan scored 29, 25, 35, 25, and 33 factors within the final 5 first halves on the highway (29.4 PPG) and play on the Seventh-quickest tempo in convention highway video games. Northwestern is ninth in tempo at house throughout Massive Ten video games and 299th total this season.
Northwestern ought to have its approach and win by double-digits, which is a lean at -11.5 and -12. The Wildcats have gained seven straight at house and held most of these groups hovering simply above or beneath 30 factors on the half.
I performed Michigan’s First Half Group Whole Below 29.5 at -125 odds on DraftKings and would exit to twenty-eight.5.
Decide: Michigan 1H Group Whole Below 29.5 (1u)
SMU at FAU (-6): O/U 153.5
FAU is coming off a highway loss at South Florida and are available house to face a SMU squad that how was six straight video games (Eighth-longest energetic streak).
That is the one assembly of the season between the 2 and each defenses play on the backside 4 slowest tempos, reverse of the offenses.
Off a loss, FAU held its opponents to 42 (N), 20 (H), 36 (A), 38 (A), and 36 (A) factors within the first half for 34.4 PPG. Nonetheless, solely as soon as in 5 of these situations did FAU have a house sport following a loss. Regardless of that, FAU hasn’t misplaced back-to-back video games all 12 months.
On the highway, SMU is 5-4 in 9 video games with a 63.5% free-throw proportion (349th) and center of the ranks for 2 (50.8%) and three-point (34.9%) percentages in six convention highway video games. FAU is 10-1 at house and an ideal 6-0 in convention play.
I just like the Owls to bounce again and win this sport, however the very best wager is to concentrate on SMU to wrestle a bit of on the highway to start out this sport. I performed the Mustangs’ First Half Group Whole Below 34.5 at +102 odds on FanDuel and would go all the way down to 33.5 for 1 unit.
Decide: SMU 1H Group Whole Below 34.5 (1u)
Season Report: 39-31 (55.7%) +3.5 models
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