College Football Predictions: Who Will Win the Biggest Games?

With the assistance of our trusty supercomputer, we’re offering school soccer predictions for each sport every week.

As all the time, our projection mannequin is spitting out its data-backed predictions for all school soccer video games all through the 2024 season.

In a comparatively wide-open panorama, conventional SEC powerhouses Alabama and Georgia stay among the many favorites to win the nationwide championship. Tennessee and Ole Miss are additionally contenders, with SEC newcomer Texas displaying it’s additionally a authentic menace.

Large Ten groups Indiana, Ohio State, Oregon and Penn State are all vying for a spot within the newly expanded 12-team Faculty Soccer Playoff. Iowa State, BYU and Kansas State have emerged within the unpredictable Large 12, whereas Boise State, Notre Dame, Military and SMU hope to make the playoff from outdoors the facility conferences.

Our TRACR-powered supercomputer is continuous to make predictions for each sport this school soccer season. TRACR (Crew Ranking Adjusted for Convention and Roster) is a web effectivity stat that measures how a staff ought to play in opposition to a standardized stage of competitors. The mannequin is predicated on an EPA (anticipated factors added) calculation weighed by opponent power.

A staff with a TRACR of 0.0 is taken into account a median staff. So if a staff with a 7.5 TRACR confronted a staff with a minus-3.0 TRACR on a impartial web site, the higher staff could be anticipated to win by about 10.5 factors if each groups ran the identical variety of performs, in response to the mannequin.

Every week all through the NCAA soccer season, our mannequin could have one thing to say about each sport. Irrespective of if it’s a headliner like Ohio State-Michigan in one other chapter of a legendary rivalry, or a sport we might all be a bit much less enthusiastic about, it unsentimentally beeps its means by means of its school soccer picks, boldly dropping predictions for every.

Extra from Opta Analyst

A number of key matchups happen throughout the Week 12 school soccer slate, with AP No. 5 Indiana visiting No. 2 Ohio State, No. 14 BYU touring to face No. 21 Arizona State and No. 18 Military West Level heading to No. 6 Notre Dame later within the night.

For these matchups and every part between, we’ve taken loads of knowledge, pumped it by means of our predictive mannequin and obtained the win chances. 

Take into account that these percentages transfer all through the week as participant information shake issues up (the next win chances have been as of Thursday). You may all the time discover the win percentages – pregame or stay – on our season-long predictions web page.

Observe: The rating beneath represents the place the staff sits in TRACR, whereas the proportion signifies win likelihood for the given matchup.

Saturday’s Video games

at No. 1 Ohio State 67.1%, No. 6 Indiana 32.9%

Indiana hasn’t overwhelmed Ohio State in its final 31 tries (30 losses, one tie), with the latest victory approaching Oct. 8, 1988. This would be the fourth ranked matchup between these two groups (2020, 1993, 1944).

at No. 2 Texas 91.4%, No. 26 Kentucky 8.6%

Texas shut out Arkansas within the first half in its final sport, its second straight sport doing so (versus Florida). The final time the Longhorns shut out their opponents within the first half in back-to-back video games was Nov. 5-12, 2005.

No. 3 Ole Miss 82.8%, at No. 10 Florida 17.2%

Florida has scored 30 or extra factors in opposition to Ole Miss in 4 straight video games, their longest energetic streak in opposition to a convention opponent. The Gators have received three of those video games together with a 51-point outing in 2020, essentially the most factors scored by both staff in collection historical past.

at No. 4 Georgia 99.9%, No. 124 UMass 0.1%

Georgia has received 29 straight house video games, the longest energetic streak within the FBS and the third-longest streak by an SEC staff within the final 40 years (Alabama – 31 from 2015-19; Florida – 30 from 1994-99)

No. 5 Alabama 84.8%, at No. 21 Oklahoma 15.2%

Jalen Milroe is the one FBS participant this season with 15+ passing touchdowns and 15+ speeding touchdowns. He’s the fifth SEC participant to hit these marks in a season this century, and the primary since Mississippi State’s Nick Fitzgerald in 2016.

at No. 7 Tennessee 99.8%, No. 126 UTEP 0.2%

Tennessee’s protection has compelled a three-and-out on 29.4% of its opponent’s drive, greatest within the SEC and fifth within the FBS.

No 8 Penn State 84.0%, at No. 32 Minnesota 16.0%

Minnesota has received its final two house video games in opposition to Penn State, with the Nittany Lions’ final win in Minnesota coming in 2010. The final sport performed at Minnesota between these groups in 2019 featured 4 gamers with 100+ receiving yards (KJ Hamler, Pat Freiermuth, RashodBateman, Tyler Johnson)

No. 9 Notre Dame 71.8%, No. 20 Military 28.2% (at Yankee Stadium)

Notre Dame has received 15 straight video games in opposition to Military courting again to 1965. This would be the second sport between these groups performed on the new Yankee Stadium (ND 27-3 win in 2010). These groups had performed 22 video games on the authentic Yankee Stadium from 1925-69.

at No. 11 South Carolina 99.9%, FCS Wofford 0.1%

This season would be the first time South Carolina finishes SEC play on a win streak of no less than 4 video games since ending the 2005 season with 5 straight convention wins.

No. 12 Texas A&M 65.9%, at No. 24 Auburn 34.1%

Texas A&M and Auburn have every received six of their 12 conferences for the reason that Aggies joined the Southeastern Convention in 2012, however A&M is 4-2 on the Plains. Georgia (5-2) is the one different SEC opponent who has received 4 or extra video games in Auburn over that span.

at No. 14 LSU 73.7%, No. 38 Vanderbilt 26.3%

LSU, which ranks fourth within the SEC in offensive TRACR, ought to have the opportunity put up some factors in opposition to a Vanderbilt staff that ranks second to final within the league in defensive TRACR.

at No. 15 Arkansas 99.0%, No. 114 Louisiana Tech 1.0%

Arkansas hopes to keep away from its first single-season four-game house dropping streak since dropping 5 straight in 2019.

No. 16 USC 79.2%, at No. 46 UCLA 20.8%

This shall be one thing of a power vs. power matchup. Whereas USC leads the Large Ten in speeding TRACR, UCLA ranks fourth in TRACR in opposition to the run.

at No. 17 Miami (FL) 93.6%, No. 73 Wake Forest 6.4%

The Hurricanes rank first within the FBS in factors per sport (45.0) and whole yards per sport (544.8). No ACC staff has ever led the FBS (or Division I pre-1978) in each classes in the identical season for the reason that convention’s founding in 1953.

at No. 18 Clemson 99.9%, FCS Citadel 0.1%

Clemson is 33-5-1 in opposition to Citadel, together with 18 straight wins. Citadel has not scored a landing in opposition to Clemson in every of the final three matchups, with its final landing in opposition to the Tigers approaching Sept. 6, 2008.

No. 19 SMU 87.6%, at No. 62 Virginia 12.4%

SMU has racked up no less than 140 speeding yards and 240 passing yards in every of its final six video games, the longest such streak within the FBS this season. The Mustangs have no less than 430 whole yards of offense in all six, the longest energetic streak behind Miami (FL) (10 straight).

No. 22 Virginia Tech 84.8%, at No. 59 Duke 15.2%

Per TRACR, Virginia Tech has the very best protection within the ACC. That’s prone to be an issue for Duke, which ranks useless final in offensive TRACR within the league.

at No. 23 Louisville 71.9%, No. 47 Pittsburgh 28.1%

The Cardinals are second within the ACC in offensive TRACR (14.1), behind solely Miami (FL) and much forward of Clemson (9.8). They’re prone to focus their consideration on the passing sport since Pitt sits third-to-last within the league in TRACR in opposition to the cross.

No. 25 Iowa 84.0%, at No. 60 Maryland 16.0%

TRACR No. 13 Oregon is on bye. AP High 25 groups not ranked within the TRACR prime 25: No. 12 Boise State, No. 14 BYU, No. 16 Colorado, No. 20 Tulane, No. 21 Arizona State, No. 22 Iowa State, No. 23 UNLV, No. 24 Illinois and No. 25 Washington State.

Stats and info supplied by Stats Carry out’s knowledge insights staff. You should definitely try our MLB and NBA protection, in addition to all our school soccer and NFL picks. Comply with us on X, Threads, Fb, Bluesky and Instagram for extra!