There are seven weeks till NFL coaching camp, greater than three months till the 2024 common season and practically a yr till the 2025 NFL draft. We all know what you are pondering: Is it too early to consider the 2025 draft? The reply isn’t any.
Let’s take a primary have a look at the projected first-round draft order for 32 groups with ESPN’s Soccer Energy Index (FPI). The FPI tasks the draft order by simulating the season 10,000 instances. Sport possibilities are based mostly largely on the mannequin’s scores for particular person groups along with sport places. The order is predicated on the information the mannequin believes the groups could have after 17 video games and every staff’s common draft place within the simulations.
After you try the the total 1-32 projection for the 2025 NFL draft under, take a look at extra FPI takeaways for the upcoming season.
Common draft place: 5.1FPI probability to earn No. 1 choose: 21.9percentFPI probability to earn top-five choose: 66.3percentFPI probability to earn top-10 choose: 87.4%
Common draft place: 5.7FPI probability to earn No. 1 choose: 20.8percentFPI probability to earn top-five choose: 62.9percentFPI probability to earn top-10 choose: 84.7%
Common draft place: 7.0FPI probability to earn No. 1 choose: 12.4percentFPI probability to earn top-five choose: 50.9percentFPI probability to earn top-10 choose: 77.1%
Common draft place: 9.1FPI probability to earn No. 1 choose: 7.1percentFPI probability to earn top-five choose: 36.7percentFPI probability to earn top-10 choose: 65.1%
Common draft place: 9.8FPI probability to earn No. 1 choose: 5.7percentFPI probability to earn top-five choose: 32.3percentFPI probability to earn top-10 choose: 60.8%
Common draft place: 9.8FPI probability to earn No. 1 choose: 5.8percentFPI probability to earn top-five choose: 32.4percentFPI probability to earn top-10 choose: 60.9%
Common draft place: 10.7FPI probability to earn No. 1 choose: 4.7percentFPI probability to earn top-five choose: 28percentFPI probability to earn top-10 choose: 54.8%
Common draft place: 11.2FPI probability to earn No. 1 choose: 3.56percentFPI probability to earn top-five choose: 25.3percentFPI probability to earn top-10 choose: 52.1%
Common draft place: 11.6FPI probability to earn No. 1 choose: 3.5percentFPI probability to earn top-five choose: 23.4percentFPI probability to earn top-10 choose: 50.5%
Common draft place: 13.1FPI probability to earn No. 1 choose: 2.6percentFPI probability to earn top-five choose: 19.4percentFPI probability to earn top-10 choose: 43.6%
Editor’s Picks
1 Associated
Common draft place: 14.1FPI probability to earn top-5 choose: 13.9percentFPI probability to earn top-10 choose: 36.1%
Common draft place: 14.4FPI probability to earn top-5 choose: 14percentFPI probability to earn top-10 choose: 36.6%
Common draft place: 14.9FPI probability to earn top-5 choose: 11.3percentFPI probability to earn top-10 choose: 30.9%
Common draft place: 15.0FPI probability to earn top-5 choose: 13.3percentFPI probability to earn top-10 choose: 33.2%
Common draft place: 15.8FPI probability to earn top-5 choose: 11percentFPI probability to earn top-10 choose: 29.5%
Common draft place: 15.9FPI probability to earn top-10 choose: 26%
Common draft place: 16.2FPI probability to earn top-10 choose: 27.4%
Common draft place: 16.8FPI probability to earn top-10 choose: 24.9%
Common draft place: 17.9FPI probability to earn top-10 choose: 19.2%
Common draft place: 18.5FPI probability to earn top-10 choose: 36.6%
What to know for the 2024 NFL offseason
• 2024 NFL schedule: Predictions, takeaways• OTA, minicamp dates for all 32 groups• Publish-draft 2024 Energy Rankings: 1-32 ballot• Largest remaining gap on each roster (ESPN+)• One QB query for all 32 groups (ESPN+)• Draft: See all 257 picks | Choose evaluation
Common draft place: 20.2FPI probability to earn top-10 choose: 18.2%
Common draft place: 20.2FPI probability to earn top-10 choose: 14.8%
Common draft place: 21.3FPI probability to earn top-10 choose: 10%
Common draft place: 21.4FPI probability to earn top-10 choose: 9.6%
Common draft place: 22.5FPI probability to earn top-10 choose: 6.6%
Common draft place: 22.5FPI probability to earn top-10 choose: 6.9%
Common draft place: 23.6FPI probability to earn top-10 choose: 4.9%
Common draft place: 23.6FPI probability to earn top-10 choose: 4.9%
Common draft place: 24.3FPI probability to earn top-10 choose: 3.1%
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Common draft place: 24.4FPI probability to earn top-10 choose: 3.5%
Common draft place: 25.7FPI probability to earn top-10 choose: 2.3%
Common draft place: 25.8FPI probability to earn top-10 choose: 2.1%
